Ngā Pūrongo

I piki ake te koura o Spot i te tīmatanga o te hokohoko Āhia ki te tata ki te $1,922 te aune. Tūrei (Maehe 15) — i heke tonu ngā utu koura i te mea i whakaitihia e ngā kōrero whakamutu ahi a Ruhia me Iukereiniana te tono mō ngā rawa haumaru, me te peti ka whakapiki ake pea te Federal Reserve i ngā reiti huamoni mō te wā tuatahi i roto i ngā tau e toru, ā, ka piki ake te pēhanga ki te konganuku.

Ko te utu whakamutunga o te koura i te $1,917.56 ia hekere, i heke iho i te $33.03, i te 1.69 ōrau rānei, whai muri i te taenga ki te taumata teitei o ia rā o te $1,954.47 me te taumata iti o te $1,906.85.
I kati te Comex April Gold Futures i te 1.6 ōrau ki te $1,929.70 ia aune, ko te kati iti rawa mai i te 2 o Poutū-te-rangi. I Ukraine, kua whakatinanahia e te tāone nui o Kiev he aukati i te haere mai mō te 35 hāora mai i te 8pm i te wā o te rohe i muri i te pānga o ngā pere a Rūhia ki ētahi whare noho i te tāone. I tū te tuawhā o ngā kōrero a ngā Rūhia me ngā Ukrainians i te Mane, me te haere tonu i te Tūrei. I taua wā tonu, kei te tata mai te rā kati mō te utu nama. I te wā o te rohe i te Tūrei, i kī a Podolyak, te kaitohutohu mō te tari o te Perehitini o Ukraine, ka haere tonu ngā kōrero a Ruhia me Ukraine āpōpō, ā, he taupatupatu nui kei roto i ngā tūranga o ngā māngai e rua i roto i ngā kōrero, engari he tūponotanga pea o te whakaaetanga. I tūtaki te perehitini o Ukraine, a Zelenskiy, i te Tūrei ki te Pirimia o Pōrana, a Morawitzky, te Pirimia o Czech, a Fiala, me te Pirimia o Slovenia, a Jan Sha. I mua ake o te rā, i tae atu ngā pirimia tokotoru ki Kiev. I kī te tari o te Pirimia o Pōrana i runga i tana paetukutuku ka toro atu ngā pirimia tokotoru ki Kiev i te rā kotahi me ngā māngai o te Kaunihera Pākehā, ā, ka tūtaki ki te Perehitini o Ukraine, a Zelenskiy, me te Pirimia Shimegal.

I piki ake ngā utu koura ki te tata ki te taumata teitei o te $5 i te wiki kua taha ake nei i te mea i piki haere ngā utu o ngā taonga nā te whakaekenga a Rūhia ki Ukraine, ā, i whakatuma i te tipu iti me te pikinga teitei, i mua i te hekenga iho. Mai i taua wā, kua heke ngā utu o ngā taonga nui, tae atu ki te hinu, ā, kua whakamama i aua āwangawanga. Kua piki ake te koura i tēnei tau nā tōna rongonui hei ārai i te pikinga o ngā utu kaihoko. Ko ngā marama o te whakapae mō te pikinga reiti hou kei te tihi haere i te Wenerei, i te wā e tumanakohia ana ka tīmata te Fed ki te whakakaha i ngā kaupapa here. Ka whai te Fed ki te aukati i ngā tekau tau o te pikinga teitei i whakakahangia e ngā utu taonga teitei. "Ko te ngoikore o ngā tumanako ka taea e ngā kōrero i waenganui i a Ukraine me Rūhia te whakaiti i ngā taumahatanga kua whakaiti i te tono mō te koura," te kī a Ricardo Evangelista, te kaitātari matua i ActivTrades. I tāpiri a Evangelista, ahakoa he marino ake ngā utu koura, kei te whanake tonu te āhuatanga i Ukraine, ā, ka noho tonu te pikinga me te koretake o te mākete. I kī a Naeem Aslam, te kaitātari matua o te mākete i Ava Trade, i roto i tētahi tuhipoka "Kua heke ngā utu koura i ngā rā e toru kua pahure ake nei, nā te hekenga o ngā utu hinu te nuinga," me te tāpiri atu ki ētahi rongo pai kei te heke te pikinga. I tukuna e te Tūrei tētahi pūrongo e whakaatu ana i te pikinga nui o te US Producer Price Index i te marama o Pēpuere nā te pikinga ake o ngā utu o ngā taonga, e whakaatu ana i ngā pēhanga pikinga utu, ā, e whakarite ana hoki i te huarahi mō te Fed ki te whakapiki ake i ngā reiti huamoni i tēnei wiki.

Kua whakaritea kia hinga te koura mō te tuatoru o ngā wā karapīpiti, koinei pea te rarangi hinganga roa rawa atu mai i te mutunga o Hānuere. E matapaetia ana ka whakapiki ake te Fed i ngā utu nama mā te 0.25 ōrau i te mutunga o tana hui e rua-rā i te Wenerei. Nā te panuitanga e haere ake nei i piki ake ai ngā hua o te tahua 10-tau, ā, ka pēhia ngā utu koura i te mea ka piki ake ngā reiti huamoni o Amerika i te utu whai wāhitanga o te pupuri koura kore e taea te tuku. I kī a Ole Hansen, te kaitātari i Saxo Bank: "Ko te pikinga tuatahi o ngā reiti huamoni o Amerika he tikanga he iti te koura, nō reira ka kite tātou he aha ngā tohu ka tukuna e rātou āpōpō me te kaha o ā rātou kōrero, ka whakatau pea i te tirohanga poto." I piki ake a Spot Palladium i te 1.2 ōrau ki te hokohoko i te $2,401. I heke a Palladium i te 15 ōrau i te Mane, ko tana hinganga nui rawa atu i roto i ngā tau e rua, i te mea kua memeha haere ngā āwangawanga mō te tuku. I kī a Hansen he mākete tino kore-wai a Palladium, ā, kāore i tiakina i te mea kua tangohia te utu pakanga i roto i te mākete taonga. I kī a Vladimir Potanin, te kaipupuri hea nui rawa atu i te kaihanga matua, MMC Norilsk Nickel PJSC, kei te pupuri tonu te kamupene i ngā kaweake mā te whakarerekē i te huarahi ahakoa te haukotinga o ngā hononga rererangi ki a Ūropi me te Hononga o Amerika. Kua whakakorea e te Kotahitanga o Ūropi tana whiu hou mō ngā kaweake whenua onge ki Rūhia.

I mutu te hinganga o ngā rā e toru i te taupū US S & p 500, me te arotahi ki te whakataunga kaupapa here a te Federal Reserve.

I piki ake ngā hea o Amerika i te Tūrei, ā, i mutu te hinganga o ngā rā e toru, i te mea kua heke anō ngā utu hinu, ā, kua iti iho te pikinga o ngā utu kaihanga o Amerika i te mea i tumanakohia, ā, i āwhina ki te whakamama i ngā āwangawanga a ngā kaipupuri moni mō te pikinga utu, ka tahuri te arotahi ki te whakapuakitanga kaupapa here a te Fed. Whai muri i te pikinga o ngā utu o te Brent Crude i runga ake i te $139 te oko i te wiki kua hipa, ka noho te Tūrei i raro iho i te $100, ā, he āwhina wā poto ki ngā kaipupuri moni hea. Kua taumaha ngā hea i tēnei tau nā te pikinga o ngā mataku mō te pikinga utu, te koretake mō te ara o te kaupapa here a te Fed ki te aukati i ngā pikinga utu me te pikinga o te pakanga i Ukraine. I te katinga o te Tūrei, kua piki ake te Dow Jones Industrial Average mā te 599.1 ngā tohu, 1.82 ōrau rānei, ki te 33,544.34, kua piki ake te S & P 500 mā te 89.34 ngā tohu, 2.14 ōrau rānei, ki te 4,262.45, ā, kua piki ake te NASDAQ mā te 367.40, 2.92% rānei ki te 12,948.62. I piki ake te US Producer Price Index i te marama o Pēpuere i runga i te penehīni me te kai, ā, e matapaetia ana ka arahi te pakanga ki a Ukraine ki ētahi atu hua i muri i te kaha o te Producer Price Index i te marama o Pēpuere, i akiakihia e te pikinga tere o ngā utu mō ngā taonga pēnei i te penehīni, e matapaetia ana ka piki ake te tohu i te mea ka nui haere te utu o te hinu mata me ētahi atu taonga whai muri i te pakanga a Rūhia ki Ukraine. I piki ake te tono whakamutunga mō ngā utu kaihanga mā te 0.8 ōrau i te marama o Pēpuere mai i te marama o mua, whai muri i te pikinga 1.2 ōrau i te marama o Hānuere. I piki ake ngā utu taonga mā te 2.4%, ko te pikinga nui rawa atu mai i Tīhema 2009. I piki ake ngā utu penehīni rarawe mā te 14.8 ōrau, e tata ana ki te 40 ōrau o te pikinga o ngā utu taonga. I piki ake te Producer Price Index mā te 10 ōrau i te marama o Pēpuere mai i te tau o mua, e rite ana ki ngā tumanakohanga a ngā tohunga ōhanga, ā, he rite tonu ki te marama o Hānuere. Kāore anō ngā tatauranga kia whakaata i te pikinga tere o te utu o ngā taonga pēnei i te hinu me te witi whai muri i te whakaekenga a Rūhia ki Ukraine i te 24 o Pēpuere. Ko te PPI ka tukuna ki te CPI i roto i ngā marama e toru. Ko ngā raraunga PPI teitei i te marama o Pēpuere i te US e kī ana kei te wātea tonu te pikinga ake o te CPI, e matapaetia ana ka kukume mai i ngā kaipupuri moni ki te hoko koura hei whawhai i te pikinga utu, me te hiahia roa ki ngā utu koura. Heoi, i tāpirihia e ngā raraunga ētahi pēhanga ki te Fed kia whakapiki ake i ngā reiti huamoni.

Kua tino whakahekehia e ngā kaihokohoko tāra ā rātou pikinga tāra i tēnei tau, ā, te āhua nei kāore i te tino whakapono ngā kaihokohoko moni ke ka taea te whakau i te pikinga o te tāra mō te wā roa, ko te kaha o te tāra i ēnei rā tata nei - nā ngā rerenga mōrearea e pā ana ki te pakanga me ngā tumanakohanga ka whakakaha ake te kaupapa here a te Fed - tera pea ka piki ake te kaha. Kua whakaitihia e ngā pūtea whakakaha ā rātou tūranga roa ki te tāra ki ngā moni nui mā te neke atu i te rua-hautoru i tēnei tau, e ai ki ngā raraunga mai i te komihana hokohoko ā-mua o ngā taonga i te 8 o Poutū-te-rangi. Inaa, i piki ake te tāra i taua wā, tata ki te 3 ōrau te pikinga i runga i te Bloomberg Dollar Index, i te mea he iti ake ngā mōrearea e pā ana ki a Ukraine me ngā tumanakohanga mō te whakakaha o te peeke pokapū, kāore i tino pai te mahi a ngā hoa whakataetae whakawhiti-Ataratiki mai i te euro ki te krona Huitene. E ai ki a Jack McIntyre, Kaiwhakahaere Putea i Brandywine Global Investment Management, mēnā ka mau tonu te pakanga i Ukraine, ā, kāore e horapa ki ētahi atu whenua, tera pea ka heke te tautoko a te tāra mō te tono haumaru. Kāore hoki ia i te whakapono ka nui te āwhina a ngā mahi whakakaha a te Fed i te tāra. I tēnei wā, he iti tana taumaha i roto i ngā tāra. "He maha ngā mākete kei mua noa atu i te Fed," tana kī. Mai i te tirohanga kaupapa here moni, e kī ana ngā tauira o mua kua tata pea te tāra ki tōna taumata tiketike. E ai ki ngā raraunga mai i te Federal Reserve me te Bank for International Settlements mai i te tau 1994, kua ngoikore te tāra mā te toharite o te 4.1 ōrau i roto i ngā huringa whakawhāiti e whā o mua i mua i te komiti mākete tuwhera ā-motu.

I kī a Englander i tumanako ia ka tohu te Fed i tētahi pikinga ā-tau i waenga i te 1.25 me te 1.50 ōrau i tēnei tau. He iti iho tēnei i te mea e tumanakohia ana e te nuinga o ngā kaipupuri moni i tēnei wā. E kī ana hoki te whakatau tata a te kaitātari ka whakapiki ake te Fed i tana reiti tahua whāngai whainga mai i tana taumata tata-kore ki te awhe o te 1.25-1.50 ōrau i te mutunga o te tau 2022, he rite ki te rima pikinga 25 ngā pūtake. E tumanako ana ngā kaipupuri moni kirimana ā-mua e hono ana ki te reiti tahua ā-motu whainga ka whakapiki ake te Fed i ngā utu nama i tētahi tere paku tere ake, me te reiti kaupapa here kua whakaritea kia waenga i te 1.75 ōrau me te 2.00 ōrau i te mutunga o te tau. Mai i te tīmatanga o te covid-19, kāore ngā matapae a te Fed mō te ōhanga o Amerika i rite ki ngā mea e tupu ana. Kei te tere ake te heke o te kore mahi, kei te tere ake te tere o te tipu, ā, ko te mea tino kitea pea, kei te tere ake te pikinga o te pikinga utu i te mea i tumanakohia.