Ngā Pūrongo

I kī tētahi tohunga rautaki mākete, ko te tohu mai i te Federal Reserve e kī ana ka whakahekehia ngā reiti huamoni i te tau 2024 kua waihanga i tētahi nekehanga hauora mō te mākete koura, ā, ka eke ngā utu koura ki ngā taumata tiketike o mua i te tau hou.
I mea a George Milling Stanley, te Kaitātari Rautaki Koura Matua i Dow Jones Global Investment Consulting, ahakoa kua eke ngā utu koura ki tōna tihi tata nei, he nui tonu te wāhi hei tipu i te mākete.
I mea ia, "Ina kitea e te koura te kaha, kāore tetahi e mōhio ki tōna teitei, ā, i te tau e tū mai nei, tera pea ka kite tātou i tētahi teitei o mua."
Ahakoa te tino hihiri o Milling Stanley mō te koura, i kī atu ia kāore ia e tumanako ka pakaru ngā utu koura i roto i te wā poto. I kī ia ahakoa e tumanako ana te Federal Reserve ki te whakaheke i ngā reiti huamoni i te tau e tū mai nei, kei te noho tonu te pātai āhea me tīmata. I kī atu ia mō te wā poto, me pupuri tonu ngā utu koura i roto i te awhe o nāianei e ngā take wā.
I roto i te matapae mana a Dow Jones, e whakapono ana te tīma a Milling Stanley he 50% te tūponotanga ka hokohokohia te koura i waenga i te $1950 me te $2200 ia aune i te tau e tū mai nei. I taua wā anō, e whakapono ana te kamupene ko te tūponotanga ka hokohokohia te koura i waenga i te $2200 me te $2400 ia aune he 30%. E whakapono ana a Dao Fu ko te tūponotanga ka hokohokohia te koura i waenga i te $1800 me te $1950 ia aune he 20% noa iho.
I kī a Milling Stanley, ko te hauora o te ōhanga ka whakatau i te teitei o te utu o te koura.
I mea ia, "Ko taku whakaaro ka pāngia tātou e te wā tipu i raro i te ia, tera pea he paheketanga ōhanga. Engari i te taha o tēnā, e ai ki ngā inenga pai a te Fed, tera pea ka noho tonu te pikinga utu. He taiao pai tēnei mō te koura." "Mēnā he paheketanga ōhanga nui, ka whai wāhi mai ā tātou take pikinga."
Ahakoa e matapaetia ana ka kukume mai te pikinga o te koura i ngā kaipupuri moni rautaki hou, i kī a Milling Stanley ko te tautoko roa o te koura e tohu ana ka haere tonu te pikinga o ngā utu koura i te tau 2024.
I mea ia mā ngā pakanga e rua e haere tonu nei ka noho tonu te hoko koura hei piringa haumaru. I tāpiri atu ia mā te tau pōtitanga kāore i te tino mārama, "kino" hoki ka piki ake te rongonui o te koura hei piringa haumaru. I kī anō ia mā te piki haere o te tono mai i Īnia me ētahi atu mākete putaiao ka tautoko i te koura tūturu.
Mā ngā hoko koura anō e ngā peeke pokapū o ngā whenua maha ka kino ake te panonitanga tauira hou o te mākete.
I mea ia, "He mea tika te tango hua ina neke atu ngā utu koura i te $2000 ia aune i ngā tau e rima kua pahure ake nei, ā, ki taku whakaaro koinei tētahi o ngā take ka heke iho ngā utu koura i raro i te $2000 i te tau e tū mai nei. Engari i tētahi wā, e whakapono tonu ana ahau ka tū tonu ngā utu koura ki runga ake i te $2000." "Mō ngā tau 14, kua hokona tonutia e te peeke pokapū te 10% ki te 20% o te tono ā-tau. Ina kitea he tohu ngoikore o ngā utu koura, he tautoko nui tēnei, ā, e tumanako ana ahau ka haere tonu tēnei ia mō ngā tau maha atu."
I kī a Milling Stanley e matapaetia ana e ia ka tere te hoko mai i tētahi hokonga nui o te koura i te aroaro o te koretake o te ōhanga o te ao me te ngangau ā-rohe.
I mea ia, "Mai i te tirohanga o mua, he āhua rua tonu te whakapau kaha a te koura ki ngā kaipupuri moni. I roto i te wā, ehara i te mea i ia tau, engari i roto i te wā, ka taea e te koura te āwhina i te whakanui ake i ngā hokinga mai o tētahi putea haumitanga taurite. I ngā wā katoa, ka whakaitihia e te koura te mōrearea me te pōrearea i roto i tētahi putea haumitanga taurite." "E tumanako ana ahau ka kukume mai tēnei whakapau kaha rua o te hokinga mai me te tiaki i ngā kaipupuri moni hou i te tau 2024."